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CHL Chile Primera B · Spiel ·

Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Puerto Montt

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg42%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg30%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Deportes Santa CruzPuerto Montt
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter58% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
42% / 28% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Doppelte Chance1271.8%1.39
Über 42% · Unter 58%Goals 2.5Unter58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nein 52%Beide Teams treffenNein52%1.92
2.34 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapPuerto Montt winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Deportes Santa Cruz win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp
Unentschieden28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Puerto Montt win30%3.333.1029%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Deportes Santa Cruz1.13

Heim share of expected goals 48.3%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 42% · Unter 58%

Puerto Montt1.21

Auswärts share of expected goals 51.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nein 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Club Deportes Santa Cruz

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalAuswärts matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Puerto Montt

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalAuswärts failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.13
Expected goals
1.21
Club Deportes Santa CruzPuerto Montt
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Deportes Santa Cruz signalAuswärts matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Puerto Montt signalAuswärts failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Puerto Montt FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Deportes Santa Cruz Gewinn 42%,Unentschieden 28%,Puerto Montt Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Über 2.5 42% · Current selection Unter