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CHL Chile Primera B · Partida ·

Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Puerto Montt

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa44%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante28%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Deportes Santa CruzPuerto Montt
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo58% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
44% / 28% / 28%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Dupla Chance1272%1.39
Acima 42% · Abaixo 58%Goals 2.5Abaixo58%1.72
Sim 48% · Não 52%Ambas as equipes marcamNão52%1.92
2.34 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
10.2 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapClub Deportes Santa Cruz winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Deportes Santa Cruz win44%2.272.0044.6%-0.6 pp
Empate28%3.573.2027.9%+0.1 pp
Puerto Montt win28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Deportes Santa Cruz1.13

Mandante share of expected goals 48.3%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 42% · Abaixo 58%

Puerto Montt1.21

Visitante share of expected goals 51.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 48% · Não 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Club Deportes Santa Cruz

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalVisitante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Puerto Montt

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalVisitante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.13
Expected goals
1.21
Club Deportes Santa CruzPuerto Montt
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Deportes Santa Cruz signalVisitante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Puerto Montt signalVisitante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Puerto Montt FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Deportes Santa Cruz ganhou 44%,Empate 28%,Puerto Montt ganhou 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Acima 2.5 42% · Current selection Abaixo