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CHL Chile - Primera B · Round 18 ·

Santiago Wanderers vs Club Deportivo San Marcos de Arica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local40%
Empate31%
Victoria visitante29%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago WanderersClub Deportivo San Marcos de Arica
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de64% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
40% / 31% / 29%Resultado del partidoVictoria local40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Deportivo San Marcos de Arica win (28.9%)Doble Oportunidad1X71.1%1.41
Más de 36% · Menos de 64%Goals 2.5Menos de64%1.56
Sí 43% · No 57%Ambos equipos marcanNo57%1.75
2.15 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Santiago Wanderers win40%2.50
Empate31%3.23
Club Deportivo San Marcos de Arica win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Wanderers1.24

Local share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 36% · Menos de 64%

Club Deportivo San Marcos de Arica0.91

Visitante share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Santiago Wanderers

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Club Deportivo San Marcos de Arica

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Ganado probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
0.91
Santiago WanderersClub Deportivo San Marcos de Arica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Wanderers signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Deportivo San Marcos de Arica signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Santiago Wanderers vs Club Deportivo San Marcos de Arica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Wanderers ganada 40%,Empate 31%,Club Deportivo San Marcos de Arica ganada 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · Más de 2.5 36% · Current selection Menos de