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CHL チリ プリメーラB · Round 18 ·

サンティアゴ・ワンダラーズ vs サン・マルコス・デ・アリカ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利42%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利29%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利42% selection probability
Projected score1–1サンティアゴ・ワンダラーズサン・マルコス・デ・アリカ
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー64% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
42% / 29% / 29%試合結果ホーム勝利42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.9%)ダブルチャンス1271.1%1.41
オーバー 36% · アンダー 64%Goals 2.5アンダー64%1.56
はい 43% · いいえ 57%両チーム得点いいえ57%1.75
2.15 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.1 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapサン・マルコス・デ・アリカ winDifference-0.7 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
サンティアゴ・ワンダラーズ win42%2.382.1541.5%+0.5 pp
引き分け29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
サン・マルコス・デ・アリカ win29%3.453.0029.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

サンティアゴ・ワンダラーズ1.24

ホーム share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 36% · アンダー 64%

サン・マルコス・デ・アリカ0.91

アウェイ share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 43% · いいえ 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

サンティアゴ・ワンダラーズ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

サン・マルコス・デ・アリカ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
勝ち probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
0.91
サンティアゴ・ワンダラーズサン・マルコス・デ・アリカ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01サンティアゴ・ワンダラーズ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02サン・マルコス・デ・アリカ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

サンティアゴ・ワンダラーズ vs サン・マルコス・デ・アリカ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

サンティアゴ・ワンダラーズ 勝ち 42%,引き分け 29%,サン・マルコス・デ・アリカ 勝ち 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · オーバー 2.5 36% · Current selection アンダー