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CHL Chile Primera B · Round 19 ·

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde40%
Egal31%
Victorie oaspeți29%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub64% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
40% / 31% / 29%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes San Marcos De Arica win (29.2%)Șansă dublă1X70.8%1.41
Peste 36% · Sub 64%Goals 2.5Sub64%1.56
Da 43% · Nu 57%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu57%1.75
2.15 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Santiago Wanderers win40%2.50
Egal31%3.23
San Marcos De Arica win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Wanderers1.23

Gazde share of expected goals 57.2%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 36% · Sub 64%

San Marcos De Arica0.92

Oaspeți share of expected goals 42.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 43% · Nu 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Santiago Wanderers

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

San Marcos De Arica

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Câștig probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.23
Expected goals
0.92
Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Wanderers signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Marcos De Arica signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Wanderers câștig 40%,Egal 31%,San Marcos De Arica câștig 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · Peste 2.5 36% · Current selection Sub