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ITA Italien - Serie A · Final ·

FC Genua 1893 vs Neapel

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score0–2Prognose 1–2
Auswärts form
Heimsieg22%
Unentschieden30%
Auswärtssieg48%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg48% selection probability
Projected score1–2FC Genua 1893Neapel
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter56% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
22% / 30% / 48%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Genua 1893 win (22.1%)Doppelte ChanceX277.9%1.28
Über 44% · Unter 56%Goals 2.5Unter56%1.79
Ja 47% · Nein 53%Beide Teams treffenNein53%1.89
2.45 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
8.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.3%Largest probability gapFC Genua 1893 winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Genua 1893 win22%4.554.3322.1%-0.1 pp
Unentschieden30%3.333.2029.9%+0.1 pp
Neapel win48%2.082.0047.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Genua 18930.91

Heim share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 44% · Unter 56%

Neapel1.54

Auswärts share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 47% · Nein 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FC Genua 1893

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Neapel

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
48%
7
Points from supplied form
10
0.91
Expected goals
1.54
FC Genua 1893Neapel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Genua 1893 signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Neapel signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

FC Genua 1893 vs Neapel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Genua 1893 Gewinn 22%,Unentschieden 30%,Neapel Gewinn 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Über 2.5 44% · Current selection Unter