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ITA Italien - Serie A · Round 1 ·

Venedig vs Lecce

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.44 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg47%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg24%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 47% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg47% selection probability
Projected score1–1VenedigLecce
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter56% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
47% / 29% / 24%SpielergebnisHeimsieg47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lecce win (24%)Doppelte Chance1X76%1.32
Über 44% · Unter 56%Goals 2.5Unter56%1.79
Ja 50% · Nein 50%Beide Teams treffenJa50%2.00
2.44 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Venedig win47%2.132.0047.3%
Unentschieden29%3.453.2029.6%
Lecce win24%4.174.1023.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Venedig1.42

Heim share of expected goals 58.2%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 44% · Unter 56%

Lecce1.02

Auswärts share of expected goals 41.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nein 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Venedig

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Lecce

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
24%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.42
Expected goals
1.02
VenedigLecce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Venedig signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lecce signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Venedig vs Lecce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Venedig Gewinn 47%,Unentschieden 29%,Lecce Gewinn 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Über 2.5 44% · Current selection Unter