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ITA Ιταλία - Σέριε Α · Final ·

Τζένοα vs Νάπολι

Prediction review

Γηπεδούχος form
Final score0–2Πρόβλεψη 1–2
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου22%
Ισοπαλία30%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου48%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Επιτυχία
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου48% selection probability
Projected score1–2ΤζένοαΝάπολι
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω56% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
22% / 30% / 48%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Τζένοα win (22.1%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX277.9%1.28
Άνω 44% · Κάτω 56%Goals 2.5Κάτω56%1.79
Ναι 47% · Όχι 53%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53%1.89
2.45 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
8.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.3%Largest probability gapΤζένοα winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Τζένοα win22%4.554.3322.1%-0.1 pp
Ισοπαλία30%3.333.2029.9%+0.1 pp
Νάπολι win48%2.082.0047.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Τζένοα0.91

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 44% · Κάτω 56%

Νάπολι1.54

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 47% · Όχι 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Τζένοα

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Νάπολι

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
48%
7
Points from supplied form
10
0.91
Expected goals
1.54
ΤζένοαΝάπολι
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Τζένοα signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Νάπολι signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Τζένοα vs Νάπολι FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Τζένοα νίκη 22%,Ισοπαλία 30%,Νάπολι νίκη 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Άνω 2.5 44% · Current selection Κάτω