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ITA Italy Serie A · Final ·

Genoa vs Napoli

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score0–2Tahmin 1–2
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır22%
Beraberlik30%
Deplasman kazanır48%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Kazandı
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır48% selection probability
Projected score1–2GenoaNapoli
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt56% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
22% / 30% / 48%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Genoa win (22.1%)Çifte ŞansX277.9%1.28
Üst 44% · Alt 56%Goals 2.5Alt56%1.79
Evet 47% · Hayır 53%Karşılıklı gol varHayır53%1.89
2.45 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
8.4 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.3%Largest probability gapGenoa winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Genoa win22%4.554.3322.1%-0.1 pp
Beraberlik30%3.333.2029.9%+0.1 pp
Napoli win48%2.082.0047.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Genoa0.91

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 44% · Alt 56%

Napoli1.54

Deplasman share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 47% · Hayır 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Genoa

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Napoli

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
48%
7
Points from supplied form
10
0.91
Expected goals
1.54
GenoaNapoli
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Genoa signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Napoli signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Genoa vs Napoli FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Genoa kazanç 22%,Beraberlik 30%,Napoli kazanç 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · 2.5 Üst 44% · Current selection Alt