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ITA Italien - Serie A · Final ·

Genoa vs Napoli

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score0–2Prognos 1–2
Borta form
Hemmaseger22%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger48%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Vunnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger48% selection probability
Projected score1–2GenoaNapoli
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
22% / 30% / 48%MatchresultatBortaseger48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Genoa win (22.1%)DubbelchansX277.9%1.28
Över 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Ja 47% · Nej 53%Båda lagen gör målNej53%1.89
2.45 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
8.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.3%Largest probability gapGenoa winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Genoa win22%4.554.3322.1%-0.1 pp
Oavgjort30%3.333.2029.9%+0.1 pp
Napoli win48%2.082.0047.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Genoa0.91

Hemma share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 44% · Under 56%

Napoli1.54

Borta share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 47% · Nej 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Genoa

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Napoli

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
48%
7
Points from supplied form
10
0.91
Expected goals
1.54
GenoaNapoli
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Genoa signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Napoli signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Genoa vs Napoli FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Genoa vunnen 22%,Oavgjort 30%,Napoli vunnen 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Över 2.5 44% · Current selection Under