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ITA Itália - Serie A · Final ·

Génova vs Nápoles

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score0–2Previsão 1–2
Visitante form
Vitória da casa22%
Empate30%
Vitória visitante48%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Acertou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante48% selection probability
Projected score1–2GénovaNápoles
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo56% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
22% / 30% / 48%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Génova win (22.1%)Dupla ChanceX277.9%1.28
Acima 44% · Abaixo 56%Goals 2.5Abaixo56%1.79
Sim 47% · Não 53%Ambas as equipes marcamNão53%1.89
2.45 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–2
8.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.3%Largest probability gapGénova winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Génova win22%4.554.3322.1%-0.1 pp
Empate30%3.333.2029.9%+0.1 pp
Nápoles win48%2.082.0047.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Génova0.91

Mandante share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 44% · Abaixo 56%

Nápoles1.54

Visitante share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitSim 47% · Não 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Génova

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Nápoles

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
48%
7
Points from supplied form
10
0.91
Expected goals
1.54
GénovaNápoles
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Génova signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nápoles signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Génova vs Nápoles FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Génova ganhou 22%,Empate 30%,Nápoles ganhou 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Acima 2.5 44% · Current selection Abaixo