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ITA Italia - Serie A · Final ·

Genoa vs Nápoles

Prediction review

Local form
Final score0–2Pronóstico 1–2
Visitante form
Victoria local22%
Empate30%
Victoria visitante48%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante48% selection probability
Projected score1–2GenoaNápoles
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de56% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
22% / 30% / 48%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Genoa win (22.1%)Doble OportunidadX277.9%1.28
Más de 44% · Menos de 56%Goals 2.5Menos de56%1.79
Sí 47% · No 53%Ambos equipos marcanNo53%1.89
2.45 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
8.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.3%Largest probability gapGenoa winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Genoa win22%4.554.3322.1%-0.1 pp
Empate30%3.333.2029.9%+0.1 pp
Nápoles win48%2.082.0047.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Genoa0.91

Local share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 44% · Menos de 56%

Nápoles1.54

Visitante share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Genoa

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Nápoles

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Ganado probability excluding draw
48%
7
Points from supplied form
10
0.91
Expected goals
1.54
GenoaNápoles
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Genoa signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nápoles signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Genoa vs Nápoles FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Genoa ganada 22%,Empate 30%,Nápoles ganada 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Más de 2.5 44% · Current selection Menos de