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ITA Włochy - Serie A · Final ·

Genua vs Napoli

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score0–2Prognoza 1–2
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy22%
Remis30%
Wygrana gości48%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Trafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości48% selection probability
Projected score1–2GenuaNapoli
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
22% / 30% / 48%Wynik meczuWygrana gości48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Genua win (22.1%)Podwójna szansaX277.9%1.28
Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%Goals 2.5Poniżej56%1.79
Tak 47% · Nie 53%Obie drużyny strzeląNie53%1.89
2.45 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
8.4 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.3%Largest probability gapGenua winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Genua win22%4.554.3322.1%-0.1 pp
Remis30%3.333.2029.9%+0.1 pp
Napoli win48%2.082.0047.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Genua0.91

Gospodarze share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%

Napoli1.54

Goście share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 47% · Nie 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Genua

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Napoli

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
48%
7
Points from supplied form
10
0.91
Expected goals
1.54
GenuaNapoli
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Genua signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Napoli signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Genua vs Napoli FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Genua wygrana 22%,Remis 30%,Napoli wygrana 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Powyżej 2.5 44% · Current selection Poniżej