Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
22% / 30% / 48%Match resultAway win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Genoa win (22.1%)Double chanceX277.9%1.28
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.45 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin4.3%Largest probability gapGenoa winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Genoa win22%4.554.3322.1%-0.1 pp
Draw30%3.333.2029.9%+0.1 pp
Napoli win48%2.082.0047.9%+0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 37.1%
Total expected goals2.45Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%
Away share of expected goals 62.9%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchGenoa
WDWLL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchNapoli
WWLDW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
22%
Win probability excluding draw
48%7
Points from supplied form
100.91
Expected goals
1.54GenoaNapoli
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Genoa vs Napoli FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Genoa win 22%，Draw 30%，Napoli win 48%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.45 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under。