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ITA Italia - Serie A · Final ·

Genoa vs Napoli

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score0–2Predicție 1–2
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde22%
Egal30%
Victorie oaspeți48%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți48% selection probability
Projected score1–2GenoaNapoli
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
22% / 30% / 48%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Genoa win (22.1%)Șansă dublăX277.9%1.28
Peste 44% · Sub 56%Goals 2.5Sub56%1.79
Da 47% · Nu 53%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu53%1.89
2.45 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
8.4 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.3%Largest probability gapGenoa winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Genoa win22%4.554.3322.1%-0.1 pp
Egal30%3.333.2029.9%+0.1 pp
Napoli win48%2.082.0047.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Genoa0.91

Gazde share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 44% · Sub 56%

Napoli1.54

Oaspeți share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 47% · Nu 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Genoa

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Napoli

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Câștig probability excluding draw
48%
7
Points from supplied form
10
0.91
Expected goals
1.54
GenoaNapoli
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Genoa signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Napoli signalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Genoa vs Napoli FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Genoa câștig 22%,Egal 30%,Napoli câștig 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Peste 2.5 44% · Current selection Sub