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ITA Italie - Série A · Final ·

Genoa vs Naples

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score0–2Pronostic 1–2
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile22%
Nul30%
Victoire à l’extérieur48%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur48% selection probability
Projected score1–2GenoaNaples
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de56% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
22% / 30% / 48%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Genoa win (22.1%)Double chanceX277.9%1.28
Plus de 44% · Moins de 56%Goals 2.5Moins de56%1.79
Oui 47% · Non 53%Les deux équipes marquentNon53%1.89
2.45 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
8.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.3%Largest probability gapGenoa winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Genoa win22%4.554.3322.1%-0.1 pp
Nul30%3.333.2029.9%+0.1 pp
Naples win48%2.082.0047.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Genoa0.91

Domicile share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 44% · Moins de 56%

Naples1.54

Extérieur share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 47% · Non 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Genoa

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Naples

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Gagné probability excluding draw
48%
7
Points from supplied form
10
0.91
Expected goals
1.54
GenoaNaples
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Genoa signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Naples signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Genoa vs Naples FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Genoa victoire 22%,Nul 30%,Naples victoire 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Plus de 2.5 44% · Current selection Moins de