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ITA Италия - Серия А · Final ·

Дженоа vs Наполи

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score0–2Прогноз 1–2
Гости form
Победа хозяев22%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей48%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей48% selection probability
Projected score1–2ДженоаНаполи
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
22% / 30% / 48%Исход матчаПобеда гостей48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Дженоа win (22.1%)Двойной шансX277.9%1.28
Больше 44% · Меньше 56%Goals 2.5Меньше56%1.79
Да 47% · Нет 53%Обе забьютНет53%1.89
2.45 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
8.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.3%Largest probability gapДженоа winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Дженоа win22%4.554.3322.1%-0.1 pp
Ничья30%3.333.2029.9%+0.1 pp
Наполи win48%2.082.0047.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Дженоа0.91

Хозяева share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 44% · Меньше 56%

Наполи1.54

Гости share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 47% · Нет 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Дженоа

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Наполи

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
48%
7
Points from supplied form
10
0.91
Expected goals
1.54
ДженоаНаполи
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Дженоа signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Наполи signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Дженоа vs Наполи FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Дженоа выигрыш 22%,Ничья 30%,Наполи выигрыш 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · ТБ 2.5 44% · Current selection Меньше