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ITA Италия - Серия А · Round 1 ·

Аталанта vs Сассуоло

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев45%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей26%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев45% selection probability
Projected score2–1АталантаСассуоло
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше57% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
45% / 29% / 26%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сассуоло win (25.8%)Двойной шанс1X74.2%1.35
Больше 43% · Меньше 57%Goals 2.5Меньше57%1.75
Да 47% · Нет 53%Обе забьютНет53%1.89
2.41 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.1 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Аталанта win45%2.22
Ничья29%3.45
Сассуоло win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аталанта1.50

Хозяева share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 43% · Меньше 57%

Сассуоло0.91

Гости share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Нет 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Аталанта

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Сассуоло

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.50
Expected goals
0.91
АталантаСассуоло
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аталанта signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сассуоло signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Аталанта vs Сассуоло FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аталанта выигрыш 45%,Ничья 29%,Сассуоло выигрыш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · ТБ 2.5 43% · Current selection Меньше