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ITA Taliansko - Serie A · Round 1 ·

Atalanta vs Sassuolo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich61%
Remíza23%
Výhra hostí16%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich61% selection probability
Projected score2–1AtalantaSassuolo
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej57% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
61% / 23% / 16%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sassuolo win (16.2%)Dvojitá šanca1X83.8%1.19
Viac 43% · Menej 57%Goals 2.5Menej57%1.75
Áno 47% · Nie 53%Oba tímy skórujúNie53%1.89
2.41 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.1 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapAtalanta winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atalanta win61%1.641.5361.8%-0.8 pp
Remíza23%4.354.2022.5%+0.5 pp
Sassuolo win16%6.256.0015.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atalanta1.50

Domáci share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 43% · Menej 57%

Sassuolo0.91

Hostia share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 47% · Nie 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Atalanta

1.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Sassuolo

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalHostia matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Výhra probability excluding draw
16%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.50
Expected goals
0.91
AtalantaSassuolo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atalanta signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sassuolo signalHostia matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Atalanta vs Sassuolo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atalanta výhra 61%,Remíza 23%,Sassuolo výhra 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Viac 2.5 43% · Current selection Menej