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ITA 意大利甲級聯賽 · Round 1 ·

亞特蘭大 vs 薩索羅

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝45%
29%
客勝26%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝45% selection probability
Projected score2–1亞特蘭大薩索羅
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.557% for the selected side
雙方進球53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
45% / 29% / 26%比賽結果主勝45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 薩索羅 win (25.8%)雙重機會1X74.2%1.35
大 43% · 小 57%Goals 2.557%1.75
是 47% · 否 53%雙方進球53%1.89
2.41 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.1 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
亞特蘭大 win45%2.22
29%3.45
薩索羅 win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

亞特蘭大1.50

主隊 share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 43% · 57%

薩索羅0.91

客隊 share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 47% · 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

亞特蘭大

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

客隊-context · form sequence

薩索羅

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
贏 probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.50
Expected goals
0.91
亞特蘭大薩索羅
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01亞特蘭大 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02薩索羅 signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

亞特蘭大 vs 薩索羅 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

亞特蘭大 45%, 29%,薩索羅 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · 大2.5 43% · Current selection