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Български
ITA Италия - Серия A · Round 1 ·

Аталанта vs Сасуоло

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина45%
Равен29%
Победа за госта26%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина45% selection probability
Projected score2–1АталантаСасуоло
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под57% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
45% / 29% / 26%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сасуоло win (25.8%)Двоен шанс1X74.2%1.35
Над 43% · Под 57%Goals 2.5Под57%1.75
Да 47% · Не 53%И двата отбора да отбележатНе53%1.89
2.41 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.1 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Аталанта win45%2.22
Равен29%3.45
Сасуоло win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аталанта1.50

Домакин share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 43% · Под 57%

Сасуоло0.91

Гост share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Не 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Аталанта

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Сасуоло

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.50
Expected goals
0.91
АталантаСасуоло
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аталанта signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сасуоло signalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Аталанта vs Сасуоло FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аталанта печеливш 45%,Равен 29%,Сасуоло печеливш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Над 2.5 43% · Current selection Под