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UTC+8
Часова зонаAsia/Shanghai
Български
ITA Италия - Серия A · Round 1 ·

Торино vs Милан

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.75 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина21%
Равен26%
Победа за госта53%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта53% selection probability
Projected score1–2ТориноМилан
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над52% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
21% / 26% / 53%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Торино win (21%)Двоен шансX279%1.27
Над 52% · Под 48%Goals 2.5Над52%1.92
Да 53% · Не 47%И двата отбора да отбележатДа53%1.89
2.75 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
8.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapМилан winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Торино win21%4.764.5021.1%-0.1 pp
Равен26%3.853.6026.3%-0.3 pp
Милан win53%1.891.8052.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Торино1.00

Домакин share of expected goals 36.4%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 52% · Под 48%

Милан1.75

Гост share of expected goals 63.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 53% · Не 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Торино

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Милан

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
53%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.00
Expected goals
1.75
ТориноМилан
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Торино signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Милан signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Торино vs Милан FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Торино печеливш 21%,Равен 26%,Милан печеливш 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Над 2.5 52% · Current selection Над