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ITA イタリア セリエA · Round 1 ·

アタランタ vs サッスオーロ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利45%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利26%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利45% selection probability
Projected score2–1アタランタサッスオーロ
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー57% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
45% / 29% / 26%試合結果ホーム勝利45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes サッスオーロ win (25.8%)ダブルチャンス1X74.2%1.35
オーバー 43% · アンダー 57%Goals 2.5アンダー57%1.75
はい 47% · いいえ 53%両チーム得点いいえ53%1.89
2.41 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.1 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
アタランタ win45%2.22
引き分け29%3.45
サッスオーロ win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アタランタ1.50

ホーム share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 43% · アンダー 57%

サッスオーロ0.91

アウェイ share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 47% · いいえ 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アタランタ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

サッスオーロ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
勝ち probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.50
Expected goals
0.91
アタランタサッスオーロ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アタランタ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02サッスオーロ signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

アタランタ vs サッスオーロ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アタランタ 勝ち 45%,引き分け 29%,サッスオーロ 勝ち 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · オーバー 2.5 43% · Current selection アンダー