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ITA Itálie - Serie A · Round 1 ·

Atalanta vs Sassuolo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích61%
Remíza23%
Výhra hostů16%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích61% selection probability
Projected score2–1AtalantaSassuolo
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně57% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
61% / 23% / 16%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sassuolo win (16.2%)Dvojitá šance1X83.8%1.19
Více 43% · Méně 57%Goals 2.5Méně57%1.75
Ano 47% · Ne 53%Oba týmy skórujíNe53%1.89
2.41 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
9.1 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapAtalanta winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atalanta win61%1.641.5361.8%-0.8 pp
Remíza23%4.354.2022.5%+0.5 pp
Sassuolo win16%6.256.0015.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atalanta1.50

Domácí share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 43% · Méně 57%

Sassuolo0.91

Hosté share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 47% · Ne 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Atalanta

1.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Sassuolo

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalHosté matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Výhra probability excluding draw
16%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.50
Expected goals
0.91
AtalantaSassuolo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atalanta signalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sassuolo signalHosté matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Atalanta vs Sassuolo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atalanta výhra 61%,Remíza 23%,Sassuolo výhra 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Více 2.5 43% · Current selection Méně