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ITA Ιταλία - Σέριε Α · Round 1 ·

Αταλάντα vs Σασουόλο

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου45%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου26%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου45% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΑταλάνταΣασουόλο
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω57% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
45% / 29% / 26%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σασουόλο win (25.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X74.2%1.35
Άνω 43% · Κάτω 57%Goals 2.5Κάτω57%1.75
Ναι 47% · Όχι 53%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53%1.89
2.41 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.1 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Αταλάντα win45%2.22
Ισοπαλία29%3.45
Σασουόλο win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Αταλάντα1.50

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 43% · Κάτω 57%

Σασουόλο0.91

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 47% · Όχι 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Αταλάντα

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σασουόλο

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.50
Expected goals
0.91
ΑταλάνταΣασουόλο
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Αταλάντα signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σασουόλο signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Αταλάντα vs Σασουόλο FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Αταλάντα νίκη 45%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Σασουόλο νίκη 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Άνω 2.5 43% · Current selection Κάτω