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ITA 意大利甲級聯賽 · Final ·

國際米蘭 vs 蒙沙

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score4–1預測 2–1
客隊 form
主勝78%
14%
客勝8%
Market-based forecast主勝Tier B · 78% selection probability
Prediction 命中
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝78% selection probability
Projected score2–1國際米蘭蒙沙
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.551% for the selected side
雙方進球54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
78% / 14% / 8%比賽結果主勝78%1.28
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 蒙沙 win (7.8%)雙重機會1X92.2%1.08
大 49% · 小 51%Goals 2.551%1.96
是 46% · 否 54%雙方進球54%1.85
2.57 total expected goals正確比分2–1
8.8 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin4.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claim
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
國際米蘭 win78%1.281.1880.9%
14%7.147.5012.7%
蒙沙 win8%12.5015.006.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

國際米蘭1.87

主隊 share of expected goals 72.8%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 49% · 51%

蒙沙0.70

客隊 share of expected goals 27.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 46% · 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

國際米蘭

1.80pts / match
5Wins2Drawn3Losses0積分9

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

蒙沙

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
78%
贏 probability excluding draw
8%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.87
Expected goals
0.70
國際米蘭蒙沙
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01國際米蘭 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02蒙沙 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk22% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

國際米蘭 vs 蒙沙 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 78% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

國際米蘭 78%, 14%,蒙沙 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · 大2.5 49% · Current selection