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ITA 意大利甲級聯賽 · Final ·

帕爾馬 vs 卡利亞里

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score0–1預測 1–1
客隊 form
主勝36%
32%
客勝32%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction 未命中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝36% selection probability
Projected score1–1帕爾馬卡利亞里
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.571% for the selected side
雙方進球62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
36% / 32% / 32%比賽結果主勝36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.8%)雙重機會1268.2%1.47
大 29% · 小 71%Goals 2.571%1.41
是 38% · 否 62%雙方進球62%1.61
1.88 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.1 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gap帕爾馬 winDifference-0.6 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
帕爾馬 win36%2.782.6036.6%-0.6 pp
32%3.133.0031.7%+0.3 pp
卡利亞里 win32%3.133.0031.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

帕爾馬0.90

主隊 share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 29% · 71%

卡利亞里0.98

客隊 share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 38% · 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

帕爾馬

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

卡利亞里

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
贏 probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
10
0.90
Expected goals
0.98
帕爾馬卡利亞里
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01帕爾馬 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02卡利亞里 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

帕爾馬 vs 卡利亞里 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

帕爾馬 36%, 32%,卡利亞里 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · 大2.5 29% · Current selection