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ITA Italia - Serie A · Final ·

Parma vs Cagliari

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score0–1Pronostico 1–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa36%
Pareggio32%
Vittoria ospite32%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Perso
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa36% selection probability
Projected score1–1ParmaCagliari
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto71% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
36% / 32% / 32%Esito partitaVittoria casa36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.8%)Doppia Chance1268.2%1.47
Sopra 29% · Sotto 71%Goals 2.5Sotto71%1.41
Sì 38% · No 62%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo62%1.61
1.88 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gapParma winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Parma win36%2.782.6036.6%-0.6 pp
Pareggio32%3.133.0031.7%+0.3 pp
Cagliari win32%3.133.0031.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Parma0.90

Casa share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 29% · Sotto 71%

Cagliari0.98

Trasferta share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Parma

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Cagliari

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vinta probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
10
0.90
Expected goals
0.98
ParmaCagliari
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Parma signalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cagliari signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Parma vs Cagliari FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Parma vinta 36%,Pareggio 32%,Cagliari vinta 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · Sopra 2.5 29% · Current selection Sotto