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ITA Италия - Серия А · Final ·

Парма vs Кальяри

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score0–1Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев36%
Ничья32%
Победа гостей32%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев36% selection probability
Projected score1–1ПармаКальяри
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше71% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
36% / 32% / 32%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.8%)Двойной шанс1268.2%1.47
Больше 29% · Меньше 71%Goals 2.5Меньше71%1.41
Да 38% · Нет 62%Обе забьютНет62%1.61
1.88 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.1 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gapПарма winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Парма win36%2.782.6036.6%-0.6 pp
Ничья32%3.133.0031.7%+0.3 pp
Кальяри win32%3.133.0031.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Парма0.90

Хозяева share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 29% · Меньше 71%

Кальяри0.98

Гости share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 38% · Нет 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Парма

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Кальяри

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
10
0.90
Expected goals
0.98
ПармаКальяри
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Парма signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Кальяри signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Парма vs Кальяри FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Парма выигрыш 36%,Ничья 32%,Кальяри выигрыш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · ТБ 2.5 29% · Current selection Меньше