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ITA Italien - Serie A · Final ·

Parma vs Cagliari

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score0–1Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg36%
Unentschieden32%
Auswärtssieg32%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg36% selection probability
Projected score1–1ParmaCagliari
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter71% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
36% / 32% / 32%SpielergebnisHeimsieg36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.8%)Doppelte Chance1268.2%1.47
Über 29% · Unter 71%Goals 2.5Unter71%1.41
Ja 38% · Nein 62%Beide Teams treffenNein62%1.61
1.88 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.1 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gapParma winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Parma win36%2.782.6036.6%-0.6 pp
Unentschieden32%3.133.0031.7%+0.3 pp
Cagliari win32%3.133.0031.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Parma0.90

Heim share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 29% · Unter 71%

Cagliari0.98

Auswärts share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nein 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Parma

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Cagliari

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
10
0.90
Expected goals
0.98
ParmaCagliari
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Parma signalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cagliari signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Parma vs Cagliari FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Parma Gewinn 36%,Unentschieden 32%,Cagliari Gewinn 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · Über 2.5 29% · Current selection Unter