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ITA Италия - Серия A · Final ·

Парма vs Каляри

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score0–1Прогноза 1–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина36%
Равен32%
Победа за госта32%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Непознат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина36% selection probability
Projected score1–1ПармаКаляри
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под71% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
36% / 32% / 32%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.8%)Двоен шанс1268.2%1.47
Над 29% · Под 71%Goals 2.5Под71%1.41
Да 38% · Не 62%И двата отбора да отбележатНе62%1.61
1.88 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.1 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gapПарма winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Парма win36%2.782.6036.6%-0.6 pp
Равен32%3.133.0031.7%+0.3 pp
Каляри win32%3.133.0031.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Парма0.90

Домакин share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 29% · Под 71%

Каляри0.98

Гост share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 38% · Не 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Парма

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Каляри

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
10
0.90
Expected goals
0.98
ПармаКаляри
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Парма signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Каляри signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Парма vs Каляри FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Парма печеливш 36%,Равен 32%,Каляри печеливш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · Над 2.5 29% · Current selection Под