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ITA Italia - Serie A · Final ·

Parma vs Cagliari

Prediction review

Local form
Final score0–1Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local36%
Empate32%
Victoria visitante32%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local36% selection probability
Projected score1–1ParmaCagliari
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de71% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
36% / 32% / 32%Resultado del partidoVictoria local36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.8%)Doble Oportunidad1268.2%1.47
Más de 29% · Menos de 71%Goals 2.5Menos de71%1.41
Sí 38% · No 62%Ambos equipos marcanNo62%1.61
1.88 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gapParma winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Parma win36%2.782.6036.6%-0.6 pp
Empate32%3.133.0031.7%+0.3 pp
Cagliari win32%3.133.0031.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Parma0.90

Local share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 29% · Menos de 71%

Cagliari0.98

Visitante share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Parma

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Cagliari

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganado probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
10
0.90
Expected goals
0.98
ParmaCagliari
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Parma signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cagliari signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Parma vs Cagliari FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Parma ganada 36%,Empate 32%,Cagliari ganada 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · Más de 2.5 29% · Current selection Menos de