Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 29% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sparta Rotterdam win (27.4%)Dubbele Kans1X72.6%1.38
Boven 49% · Onder 51%Goals 2.5Onder51%1.96
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.62 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
10.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Excelsior win44%2.27
Gelijkspel29%3.45
Sparta Rotterdam win27%3.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 60.3%
Total expected goals2.62Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 49% · Onder 51%
Uit share of expected goals 39.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchExcelsior
LWWWW
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12
SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchSparta Rotterdam
DWLDD
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%12
Points from supplied form
61.58
Expected goals
1.04ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Excelsior gewonnen 44%，Gelijkspel 29%，Sparta Rotterdam gewonnen 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.62 · Boven 2.5 49% · Current selection Onder。