MatchFormula Hitta en match
Menu
UTC+8
TidszonAsia/Shanghai
Svenska
NLD Nederländerna - Eredivisie · Match ·

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger44%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger27%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger44% selection probability
Projected score2–1ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
44% / 29% / 27%MatchresultatHemmaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sparta Rotterdam win (27.4%)Dubbelchans1X72.6%1.38
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 52% · Nej 48%Båda lagen gör målJa52%1.92
2.62 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.1 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Excelsior win44%2.27
Oavgjort29%3.45
Sparta Rotterdam win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior1.58

Hemma share of expected goals 60.3%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

Sparta Rotterdam1.04

Borta share of expected goals 39.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nej 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Sparta Rotterdam

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
27%
12
Points from supplied form
6
1.58
Expected goals
1.04
ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sparta Rotterdam signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior vunnen 44%,Oavgjort 29%,Sparta Rotterdam vunnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under