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NLD Nizozemsko - Eredivisie · Zápas ·

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích44%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostů27%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích44% selection probability
Projected score2–1ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně51% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
44% / 29% / 27%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sparta Rotterdam win (27.4%)Dvojitá šance1X72.6%1.38
Více 49% · Méně 51%Goals 2.5Méně51%1.96
Ano 52% · Ne 48%Oba týmy skórujíAno52%1.92
2.62 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
10.1 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Excelsior win44%2.27
Remíza29%3.45
Sparta Rotterdam win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior1.58

Domácí share of expected goals 60.3%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 49% · Méně 51%

Sparta Rotterdam1.04

Hosté share of expected goals 39.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 52% · Ne 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Sparta Rotterdam

1.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Body6

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Výhra probability excluding draw
27%
12
Points from supplied form
6
1.58
Expected goals
1.04
ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sparta Rotterdam signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior výhra 44%,Remíza 29%,Sparta Rotterdam výhra 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Více 2.5 49% · Current selection Méně