Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
44% / 29% / 27%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sparta Rotterdam win (27.4%)Șansă dublă1X72.6%1.38
Peste 49% · Sub 51%Goals 2.5Sub51%1.96
Da 52% · Nu 48%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa52%1.92
2.62 total expected goalsScor corect2–1——
10.1 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Excelsior win44%2.27
Egal29%3.45
Sparta Rotterdam win27%3.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Gazde share of expected goals 60.3%
Total expected goals2.62Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Peste 49% · Sub 51%
Oaspeți share of expected goals 39.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 52% · Nu 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Gazde-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchExcelsior
LWWWW
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12
SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5
Oaspeți-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchSparta Rotterdam
DWLDD
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6
SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Câștig probability excluding draw
27%12
Points from supplied form
61.58
Expected goals
1.04ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Excelsior câștig 44%，Egal 29%，Sparta Rotterdam câștig 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.62 · Peste 2.5 49% · Current selection Sub。