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NLD Нидерланды - Эредивизи · Матч ·

Эксельсиор vs Спарта Роттердам

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев44%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей27%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев44% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЭксельсиорСпарта Роттердам
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
44% / 29% / 27%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Спарта Роттердам win (27.4%)Двойной шанс1X72.6%1.38
Больше 49% · Меньше 51%Goals 2.5Меньше51%1.96
Да 52% · Нет 48%Обе забьютДа52%1.92
2.62 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Эксельсиор win44%2.27
Ничья29%3.45
Спарта Роттердам win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Эксельсиор1.58

Хозяева share of expected goals 60.3%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 49% · Меньше 51%

Спарта Роттердам1.04

Гости share of expected goals 39.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Нет 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Эксельсиор

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Спарта Роттердам

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
27%
12
Points from supplied form
6
1.58
Expected goals
1.04
ЭксельсиорСпарта Роттердам
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Эксельсиор signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Спарта Роттердам signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Эксельсиор vs Спарта Роттердам FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Эксельсиор выигрыш 44%,Ничья 29%,Спарта Роттердам выигрыш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · ТБ 2.5 49% · Current selection Меньше