Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 29% / 27%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sparta Rotterdam win (27.4%)Double chance1X72.6%1.38
Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%Goals 2.5Moins de51%1.96
Oui 52% · Non 48%Les deux équipes marquentOui52%1.92
2.62 total expected goalsScore exact2–1——
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Excelsior win44%2.27
Nul29%3.45
Sparta Rotterdam win27%3.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 60.3%
Total expected goals2.62Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%
Extérieur share of expected goals 39.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 52% · Non 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchExcelsior
LWWWW
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchSparta Rotterdam
DWLDD
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
27%12
Points from supplied form
61.58
Expected goals
1.04ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Excelsior victoire 44%，Nul 29%，Sparta Rotterdam victoire 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.62 · Plus de 2.5 49% · Current selection Moins de。