Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 29% / 27%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sparta Rotterdam win (27.4%)Doppia Chance1X72.6%1.38
Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%Goals 2.5Sotto51%1.96
Sì 52% · No 48%Entrambe le squadre segnanoSì52%1.92
2.62 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1——
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Excelsior win44%2.27
Pareggio29%3.45
Sparta Rotterdam win27%3.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 60.3%
Total expected goals2.62Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%
Trasferta share of expected goals 39.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSì 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchExcelsior
LWWWW
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12
SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchSparta Rotterdam
DWLDD
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6
SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
27%12
Points from supplied form
61.58
Expected goals
1.04ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Excelsior vinta 44%，Pareggio 29%，Sparta Rotterdam vinta 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.62 · Sopra 2.5 49% · Current selection Sotto。