MatchFormula Znajdź mecz
Menu
UTC+8
Strefa czasowaAsia/Shanghai
Polski
NLD Holandia - Eredivisie · Mecz ·

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy44%
Remis29%
Wygrana gości27%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy44% selection probability
Projected score2–1ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej51% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
44% / 29% / 27%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sparta Rotterdam win (27.4%)Podwójna szansa1X72.6%1.38
Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%Goals 2.5Poniżej51%1.96
Tak 52% · Nie 48%Obie drużyny strzeląTak52%1.92
2.62 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.1 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Excelsior win44%2.27
Remis29%3.45
Sparta Rotterdam win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior1.58

Gospodarze share of expected goals 60.3%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%

Sparta Rotterdam1.04

Goście share of expected goals 39.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 52% · Nie 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Sparta Rotterdam

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
27%
12
Points from supplied form
6
1.58
Expected goals
1.04
ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sparta Rotterdam signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior wygrana 44%,Remis 29%,Sparta Rotterdam wygrana 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Powyżej 2.5 49% · Current selection Poniżej