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NLD Paesi Bassi - Eredivisie · Partita ·

Utrecht vs PSV

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.95 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa29%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite46%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite46% selection probability
Projected score2–2UtrechtPSV
Expected goals3.95Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra76% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano73% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
29% / 24% / 46%Esito partitaVittoria ospite46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Doppia Chance1275.7%1.32
Sopra 76% · Sotto 24%Goals 2.5Sopra76%1.32
Sì 73% · No 27%Entrambe le squadre segnano73%1.37
3.95 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
10.7 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Utrecht win29%3.45
Pareggio24%4.17
PSV win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Utrecht1.64

Casa share of expected goals 41.5%

Total expected goals3.95Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 76% · Sotto 24%

PSV2.31

Trasferta share of expected goals 58.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 73% · No 27%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Utrecht

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

PSV

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Vinta probability excluding draw
46%
1
Points from supplied form
11
1.64
Expected goals
2.31
UtrechtPSV
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Utrecht signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02PSV signalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Utrecht vs PSV FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Utrecht vinta 29%,Pareggio 24%,PSV vinta 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.95 · Sopra 2.5 76% · Current selection Sopra