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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eredivisie · Wedstrijd ·

FC Utrecht vs PSV

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.95 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst29%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst46%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst46% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC UtrechtPSV
Expected goals3.95Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven76% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa73% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
29% / 24% / 46%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Dubbele Kans1275.7%1.32
Boven 76% · Onder 24%Goals 2.5Boven76%1.32
Ja 73% · Nee 27%Beide teams scorenJa73%1.37
3.95 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
FC Utrecht win29%3.45
Gelijkspel24%4.17
PSV win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Utrecht1.64

Thuis share of expected goals 41.5%

Total expected goals3.95Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 76% · Onder 24%

PSV2.31

Uit share of expected goals 58.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 73% · Nee 27%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Utrecht

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

PSV

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalUit unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
46%
1
Points from supplied form
11
1.64
Expected goals
2.31
FC UtrechtPSV
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Utrecht signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02PSV signalUit unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FC Utrecht vs PSV FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Utrecht gewonnen 29%,Gelijkspel 24%,PSV gewonnen 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.95 · Boven 2.5 76% · Current selection Boven