MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eredivisie · Wedstrijd ·

Willem II vs sc Heerenveen

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst46%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst31%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Willem IIsc Heerenveen
Expected goals3.11Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 23% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Dubbele Kans1276.6%1.31
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 62% · Nee 38%Beide teams scorenJa62%1.61
3.11 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Willem II win46%2.17
Gelijkspel23%4.35
sc Heerenveen win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Willem II1.73

Thuis share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals3.11Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%

sc Heerenveen1.38

Uit share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 62% · Nee 38%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Willem II

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

sc Heerenveen

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.73
Expected goals
1.38
Willem IIsc Heerenveen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Willem II signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02sc Heerenveen signalThuis won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Willem II vs sc Heerenveen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Willem II gewonnen 46%,Gelijkspel 23%,sc Heerenveen gewonnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven