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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eredivisie · Wedstrijd ·

Telstar vs Ajax

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.80 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst30%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst42%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst42% selection probability
Projected score1–2TelstarAjax
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
30% / 28% / 42%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Dubbele Kans1272%1.39
Boven 53% · Onder 47%Goals 2.5Boven53%1.89
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
2.80 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
10.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Telstar win30%3.33
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Ajax win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Telstar1.19

Thuis share of expected goals 42.5%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 53% · Onder 47%

Ajax1.61

Uit share of expected goals 57.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Telstar

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Ajax

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalUit unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
11
1.19
Expected goals
1.61
TelstarAjax
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Telstar signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax signalUit unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Telstar vs Ajax FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Telstar gewonnen 30%,Gelijkspel 28%,Ajax gewonnen 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Boven 2.5 53% · Current selection Boven