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NLD Нидерланды - Эредивизи · Матч ·

Телстар vs Аякс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.80 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев30%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей42%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей42% selection probability
Projected score1–2ТелстарАякс
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
30% / 28% / 42%Исход матчаПобеда гостей42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Двойной шанс1272%1.39
Больше 53% · Меньше 47%Goals 2.5Больше53%1.89
Да 56% · Нет 44%Обе забьютДа56%1.79
2.80 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
10.3 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Телстар win30%3.33
Ничья28%3.57
Аякс win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Телстар1.19

Хозяева share of expected goals 42.5%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 53% · Меньше 47%

Аякс1.61

Гости share of expected goals 57.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 56% · Нет 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Телстар

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Аякс

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalГости unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
11
1.19
Expected goals
1.61
ТелстарАякс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Телстар signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Аякс signalГости unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Телстар vs Аякс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Телстар выигрыш 30%,Ничья 28%,Аякс выигрыш 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · ТБ 2.5 53% · Current selection Больше