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NLD Nederlandene - Eredivisie · Kamp ·

Telstar vs Ajax

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.80 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr30%
Uafgjort28%
Udesejr42%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr42% selection probability
Projected score1–2TelstarAjax
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
30% / 28% / 42%KampresultatUdesejr42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Dobbeltchance1272%1.39
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Begge hold scorerJa56%1.79
2.80 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Telstar win30%3.33
Uafgjort28%3.57
Ajax win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Telstar1.19

Hjemme share of expected goals 42.5%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

Ajax1.61

Ude share of expected goals 57.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Telstar

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Ajax

2.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Point11

SignalUde unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Vundet probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
11
1.19
Expected goals
1.61
TelstarAjax
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Telstar signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax signalUde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Telstar vs Ajax FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Telstar vundet 30%,Uafgjort 28%,Ajax vundet 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over