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NLD Niederlande - Eredivisie · Spiel ·

Telstar vs Ajax

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–22.80 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg30%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg42%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg42% selection probability
Projected score1–2TelstarAjax
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
30% / 28% / 42%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Doppelte Chance1272%1.39
Über 53% · Unter 47%Goals 2.5Über53%1.89
Ja 56% · Nein 44%Beide Teams treffenJa56%1.79
2.80 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
10.3 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Telstar win30%3.33
Unentschieden28%3.57
Ajax win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Telstar1.19

Heim share of expected goals 42.5%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 53% · Unter 47%

Ajax1.61

Auswärts share of expected goals 57.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 56% · Nein 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Telstar

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Ajax

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
11
1.19
Expected goals
1.61
TelstarAjax
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Telstar signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax signalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Telstar vs Ajax FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Telstar Gewinn 30%,Unentschieden 28%,Ajax Gewinn 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Über 2.5 53% · Current selection Über