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NLD Holandia - Eredivisie · Mecz ·

Telstar vs Ajax

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–22.80 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy30%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości42%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości42% selection probability
Projected score1–2TelstarAjax
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej53% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
30% / 28% / 42%Wynik meczuWygrana gości42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Podwójna szansa1272%1.39
Powyżej 53% · Poniżej 47%Goals 2.5Powyżej53%1.89
Tak 56% · Nie 44%Obie drużyny strzeląTak56%1.79
2.80 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
10.3 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Telstar win30%3.33
Remis28%3.57
Ajax win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Telstar1.19

Gospodarze share of expected goals 42.5%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 53% · Poniżej 47%

Ajax1.61

Goście share of expected goals 57.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 56% · Nie 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Telstar

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Ajax

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGoście unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
11
1.19
Expected goals
1.61
TelstarAjax
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Telstar signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax signalGoście unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Telstar vs Ajax FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Telstar wygrana 30%,Remis 28%,Ajax wygrana 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Powyżej 2.5 53% · Current selection Powyżej