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NLD Nederlandene - Eredivisie · Kamp ·

Willem II vs Heerenveen

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr46%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr31%
Baseline forecastHjemmesejrTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Willem IIHeerenveen
Expected goals3.11Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
46% / 23% / 31%KampresultatHjemmesejr46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Dobbeltchance1276.6%1.31
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Ja 62% · Nej 38%Begge hold scorerJa62%1.61
3.11 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Willem II win46%2.17
Uafgjort23%4.35
Heerenveen win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Willem II1.73

Hjemme share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals3.11Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Heerenveen1.38

Ude share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 62% · Nej 38%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Willem II

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Heerenveen

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vundet probability excluding draw
31%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.73
Expected goals
1.38
Willem IIHeerenveen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Willem II signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Heerenveen signalHjemme won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Willem II vs Heerenveen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Willem II vundet 46%,Uafgjort 23%,Heerenveen vundet 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over