Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 23% / 31%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Double chance1276.6%1.31
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.11 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Willem II win46%2.17
Draw23%4.35
Heerenveen win31%3.23
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 55.6%
Total expected goals3.11Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%
Away share of expected goals 44.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchWillem II
LLWWD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchHeerenveen
LDWWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome won 2/4 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
46%
Win probability excluding draw
31%7
Points from supplied form
71.73
Expected goals
1.38Willem IIHeerenveen
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Willem II vs Heerenveen FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Willem II win 46%，Draw 23%，Heerenveen win 31%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.11 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over。